A Few Thoughts on Jury Duty

I spent last week sitting on a jury for King County.  The experience left me with a couple of thoughts about our system of justice.  Also a few thoughts about real estate, the subject of the trial:

1.  Never accept a deal with a dual agent -- one in which the same agent represents both the buyer and the seller.  Shenanigans ensue.

2.  Read all contracts thoroughly.  No more skimming and nodding as if you understand.

3.  Never get into a real estate deal for your primary residence that gets anywhere near taxing your resources.

So much for the plaintiff and the defendant.

And now for the jury system itself.  I had never sat on a jury before, and I am glad I had the experience.  I could have gotten myself excused as a sole proprietor given the expected length of the trial, as did several of my original panel, but I decided I should do my civic duty and give society a week of my time.

So far so good.

But now we have 12 jurors (plus the alternate, during the trial) sitting for a week getting paid all of $10 per day.  And for a trial that basically boiled down to avoidable negligence on the part of the defendant, negligence that wound up costing the plaintiff dearly.  Yes, the defendant deserved to be found negligent, and the plaintiff deserved to be compensated.  And we awarded the plaintiff about $400K in damages, which was no small potatoes in this case.

But having the jury of 12 sit there for a week cost, very roughly, at least $50K in lost salaries and benefits.  To which we must add court costs including salaries, rent, etc., on the courthouse for as long as the case was open (about a year).  I'll bet the citizens of King County (including the jurors) spent nearly as much as the total damages.

In the end, while I certainly acknowledge the importance of jury trials to our democracy, it isn't clear to me that it is a good use of society's resources to spend so much on a case like this.  Perhaps binding arbitration would have served the same ends?  Or maybe that just winds up looking like a trial before a judge?  And the defendant went for trial by jury.

Perhaps this is just the cost we pay for a civil, democratic society.

"Democracy is the worst form of government except for all the others", and all that.

Presidential Bioethics Commission Presentation

Here are the archived video and slides from last week's meeting of the Presidential Commission for the Study of Bioethical Issues.  And here is the session with presentations from Drew Endy, Bonnie Bassler, and myself, followed by questions and discussion with the Commission and public.

Browser warning: When I ran it, something about the combination of Flash and the slide viewer caused Safari to freeze; Firefox was just fine.

Presidential Commission for the Study of Bioethical Issues (Updated, and errata)

Here are the annotated slides (PDF) from my presentation this morning to the Presidential Commission for the Study of Bioethical Issues.  (Update -- A word to the wise; a "crore" is an Indian unit indicating 10,000,000.  We had an errant extra zero in our database, and I have now fixed the Indian biotech GDP number to reflect the correction.)

Now sitting in the audience, I've just heard Jim Thomas of ETC once again egregiously distort the Keasling-Amyris-malaria-artemisinin story.  As usual he is quite well-spoken and reasonable sounding, and uses rhetoric well to his ends.

It may be true, as Thomas asserts, that switching artemisinin production to fermentation will harm the economic livelihood of "a few thousand" (his words) farmers in China and Africa.  But he has left out of his calculation the 40% of the world's population that is at risk of malaria every year.  He has left out the millions of children who die annually from malaria.

Quoting from my book (pg.98 -- I've left out the references as I am liveblogging from the meeting):

The cost burden of the disease on individual families is highly regressive.  The average cost per household for treating malaria may be in the range of only 3-7 percent of income, but total and indirect costs to poor households can amount to one-third of annual income.  The disease also disproportionately affects the young. Approximately 90percent of those who are killed by the parasite are African children under the age of five; according to the World Health Organization (WHO), a child dies from malaria roughly every thirty seconds.

In addition to staggering personal costs, the disease harms whole societies by severely inhibiting economic development. In affected countries, malaria reduces GDP growth by about 1.3 percent per year. These countries, moreover, contain about 40percent of the world's population. Over the past forty years, the growth penalty has created a difference in GDP that substantially exceeds the billions in annual foreign aid they receive. In 2000 the World Health Organization estimated that eliminating this growth penalty in 1965 would have resulted in "up to $100 billion added to sub-Saharan Africa's [2000] GDP of $300 billion. This extra $100 billion would be, by comparison, nearly five times greater than all development aid provided to Africa [in 1999]."

Because there was no technical means to eliminate the parasite in the middle of the twentieth century, this is clearly a number calculated to impress or shock, but the point is that the growth penalty continues to balloon. As of 2008, the GDPs of countries in sub-Saharan Africa would be approximately 35 percent higher than they are today had malaria been eliminated in 1965. The World Health Organization reckons that malaria-free countries have a per capita GDP on average three times larger than malarious countries.  The productivity of farmers in malarious countries is cut by as much as 50 percent because of workdays lost to the disease.  The impact of producing an effective and inexpensive antimalarial drug would therefore be profound.
 
Improving access to other technologies, such as bed nets treated with insecticides, would also be of substantial aid in reducing the rate of infection.  Yet infected victims will still need access to cures. Prevention might be found in a vaccine, which the Gates Foundation also funds. However, even the most promising malaria vaccine candidates are only partially effective and cost even more than artemisinin. Microbial production of artemisinin would completely change the impact of malaria on billions of people worldwide.  Artemisinin is presently derived from the wormwood tree and has been used as an herbal remedy for at least two thousand years. Its antimalarial activity was first described by Chinese scientists in 1971.  The existence of the drug and its physiochemical properties were announced to the world in 1979, although its precise molecular mechanism of action is still not understood. A method for chemical synthesis was published in 1983, but it remains "long, arduous, and economically nonviable."
 
Because natural artemisinin is an agricultural product, it competes for arable land with food crops, is subject to seasonal variations in supply, and its production costs are in part determined by the costs of fertilizer and fuel. As a result of the work of Keasling and his collaborators, it appears that, within just a few years, biological technology may provide a more-flexible and less-expensive supply of drugs than now exists. Commercial production of artemisinin should commence in 2010, with a continuous annual production sufficient to treat the 500million malaria cases per year.

So, Mr. Thomas, what about all the people who will benefit from inexpensive malaria drugs?  It is, frankly, unconscionable and indefensible for you to continue beating this drum as you do.  The human cost of not producing inexpensive artemisinin in vats is astronomical.  If reducing the burden of malaria around the world on almost 2 billion people might harm "a few thousand" farmers, then we should make sure those farmers can make a living growing some other crop.  We can solve both problems.  Your ideological opposition to synthetic biology is is blinding you to the opportunities, and your version of reality would ignore the health and welfare of children around the world.

How's that for rhetoric?

Update:  One other thought.  Just one year of 1.3% GDP growth recovered by reducing (eliminating?) the impact of malaria would more than offset paying wormwood farmers to grow something else.  There is really no argument to do anything else.

For a "Civil Society" organization, ETC is being decidedly uncivil on this issue.  

Yummy, Corrosive Biodiesel

Yummy for microbes, that is.  Who turn the methyl esters in biodiesel -- with some intermediate steps -- into hydrogen sulfide that corrodes carbon steel.

This according to a paper last month in Energy & Fuels, Aktas et al explore "Anaerobic Metabolism of Biodiesel and Its Impact on Metal Corrosion".  The authors observe that "Despite the global acceptance of biodiesel, the impact of integrating this alternate fuel with the existing infrastructure has not been fully explored."

Here is a paragraph from the paper, full of interesting tidbits:

The chemical stability characteristics of biodiesel are well-documented,(3, 4) but the susceptibility of this fuel to biodegradation is not well-known. Biodiesel methyl esters are sparingly soluble in seawater, with a saturation concentration of 7 ppm at 17 °C.(5) Several studies showed that aerobic microorganisms readily degrade biodiesel.(6-8) The half-life for the biodegradation of the vegetable methyl esters in agitated San Francisco Bay water was less than 4 days at 17 °C.(9) However, anaerobic conditions prevail whenever heterotrophic microbial respiration consumes oxygen at a rate that exceeds diffusion. This is typically the case in subsurface environments, including oil reservoirs,(10-12) oil-contaminated habitats,(13) refineries, storage vessels, pipelines, oil−water separators, and ballast tanks.

In particular, it is interesting that biodiesel spills might be metabolized by bugs in the environment at a much greater rate than petrodiesel.  Next, it is interesting that our steel infrastructure might be susceptible to more rapid degradation with the inclusion of bio-products.  Plastics, anyone?

The paper concludes:

Our studies suggest that biodiesel can be quite easily hydrolyzed and converted to a variety of fatty acid intermediates by anaerobic microorganisms, regardless of their previous hydrocarbon- or biodiesel-exposure history. The acidic nature of these intermediates accelerates the pitting corrosion process of the most common metal alloy used throughout the fuel infrastructure.(39) The corrosion of pipelines, tanks, storage units, and associated equipment increases the risk of the release of hazardous materials to the environment, with concomitant pollution issues. With the widespread use of biodiesel as an additive to fuel supplies, it is at least prudent to consider how best to avoid the negative consequences associated with the microbial metabolism of these labile fuel components.

Something to watch, obviously.

Book Talk at Reiter's in Washington DC, May 19

Tomorrow evening, May 19th, I will give a short talk about my recent book Biology is Technology at Reiter's Books  in Washington DC, followed by discussion and refreshments.  Among other issues, I will discuss updated figures for the impact of biotech and bioengineering on the US and world economies, the impact of the recent BRCA 1/2 gene patent decision, garage biotech, biosecurity, and regulation.

I look forward to seeing you there -- please bring hard questions.

Biology is Technology: The Promise, Peril, and New Business of Engineering Life
Robert Carlson
Harvard University Press, 2010
www.biologyistechnology.com

Where:

(Note that Reiter's has recently moved.)
Reiter's Books
1900 G St. NW
Washington DC 20006
www.reiters.com

When:

May 19, 2010
6:30 PM

A Few Biosecurity Notes

  • Last January, the UPMC Center for Biosecurity published "U.S. Government Judgments on the Threat of Biological Weapons: Official Assessments, 2004-2009".  If you are interested in bioterrorism, you should have a look.
  • Also in January, the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard's Kenney School of Government released "Al Qaeda Weapons of Mass Destruction Threat: Hype or Reality?" (PDF) By Rolf Mowatt-Larssen.  The document gathers together open source information regarding Al Qaeda's interest in WMD.  Mowatt-Larssen is formerly the Director of Intelligence and Counterintelligence at the U.S. Department of Energy, and spent 23 years at the CIA.  The introduction sets out the purpose of the document as dispelling the doubts of those skeptical there is a real threat.
  • Former Senate Intelligence Committee chairman Bob Graham recently told the Washington Post that "India and Pakistan, as well as Syria and Israel, may have manufactured biological weapons."  Graham said: "The extent to which they may have done it is classified, but it is a serious threat. ...A couple of weeks in the Middle East has given me a greater sense of urgency."  Graham called out the lack of progress here at home in establishing "a response capability".  In an update to the story, the Post then pointed to a description of a new "biosecurity" bill introduced in the House, which from the article sounds to be all about securing national labs rather than standing up any sort of real biodefense response capability.

Sweet dreams.

"National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats"

I recently had cause to re-read the National Strategy for Countering Biological Threats (Full PDF), released last fall by the National Security Council and signed by the President. I think there is a lot to like, and it demonstrates a welcome change in the mindset I encounter in Washington DC.

When the document came out, there was just a little bit of coverage in the press. Notably, Wired's Threat Level, which usually does a commendable job on security issues, gave the document a haphazard swipe, asserting that "Obama's Biodefense Strategy is a Lot Like Bush's".  As described in that post, various commentators were unhappy with the language that Under Secretary of State Ellen Tauscher used when announcing the Strategy at a BWC meeting in Geneva. According to Threat Level, "Sources tell this reporter that the National Security Council had some Bush administration holdovers in charge of editing the National Strategy and preparing Ms. Tauscher's script, and these individuals basically bulldozed the final draft through Defense and State officials with very little interagency input and with a very short suspense." Threat Level also asserts that "Most are disappointed in the language, which doesn't appear to be significantly different than the previous administration." It is unclear who "Most" are.

In contrast to all of this, in my view the Strategy is a clear departure from the muddled thinking that dominated earlier discussions. By muddled, I mean security discussions and policy that, paraphrasing just a little, went like this: "Biology Bad! Hacking Bad! Must Contain!" 

The new National Strategy document takes a very different line. Sources tell this reporter, if you will, that the document resulted from a careful review that involved multiple agencies, over many months, with an aim to develop the future biosecurity strategy of the United States in a realistic context of rapidly spreading infectious diseases and international technological proliferation driven by economic and technical needs. To wit, here are the first two paragraphs from the first page (emphasis added, of course):

We are experiencing an unparalleled period of advancement and innovation in the life sciences globally that continues to transform our way of life. Whether augmenting our ability to provide health care and protect the environment, or expanding our capacity for energy and agricultural production towards global sustainability, continued research and development in the life sciences is essential to a brighter future for all people.

The beneficial nature of life science research is reflected in the widespread manner in which it occurs. From cutting-edge academic institutes, to industrial research centers, to private laboratories in base­ments and garages, progress is increasingly driven by innovation and open access to the insights and materials needed to advance individual initiatives.

Recall that this document carries the signature of the President of the United States.  I'll pause to let that sink in for a moment.

And now to drive home the point: the new Strategy for Countering Biological Threats explicitly points to garage biotech innovation and open access as crucial components of our physical and economic security. I will note that this is a definite change in perspective, and one that has not fully permeated all levels of the Federal bureaucracy and contractor-aucracy. Recently, during a conversation about locked doors, buddy systems, security cameras, and armed guards, I found myself reminding a room full of biosecurity professionals of the phrase emphasized above. I also found myself reminding them -- with sincere apologies to all who might take offense -- that not all the brains, not all the money, and not all the ideas in the United States are found within Beltway. Fortunately, the assembled great minds took this as intended and some laughter ensued, because they realized this was the point of including garage labs in the National Strategy, even if not everyone is comfortable with it. And there are definitely very influential people who are not comfortable with it. But, hey, the President signed it (forgive me, did I mention that part already?), so everyone is on board, right?

Anyway, I think the new National Strategy is a big step forward in that it also acknowledges that improving public health infrastructure and countering infectious diseases are explicitly part of countering artificial threats. Additionally, the Strategy is clear on the need to establish networks that both promulgate behavioral norms and that help disseminate information. And the new document clearly recognizes that these are international challenges (p.3):

Our Strategy is targeted to reduce biological threats by: (1) improving global access to the life sciences to combat infectious disease regardless of its cause; (2) establishing and reinforcing norms against the misuse of the life sciences; and (3) instituting a suite of coordinated activities that collectively will help influence, identify, inhibit, and/or interdict those who seek to misuse the life sciences.

...This Strategy reflects the fact that the challenges presented by biological threats cannot be addressed by the Federal Government alone, and that planning and participation must include the full range of domestic and international partners.

Norms, open biology, better technology, better public health infrastructure, and better intelligence: all are themes I have been pushing for a decade now. So, 'nuff said on those points, I suppose.

Implementation is, of course, another matter entirely. The Strategy leaves much up to federal, state, and local agencies, not all of whom have the funding, expertise, or inclination to follow along. I don't have much to say about that part of the Strategy, for now. But I am definitely not disappointed with the rest of it. It is, you might say, the least bad thing I have read out of DC in a long time.

Big Gene Patent (Busting) News???

Well now, isn't this an interesting development.  As covered by many news outlets (NYT, Wired, Genomeweb), US District Court Judge Robert Sweet has invalidated several US patents, sometimes referred to as the "BRCA1/2 patents", held by the University of Utah and Myriad Genetics.  From Judge Sweet's decision: "Products of nature do not constitute patentable subject matter absent achange that results in the creation of a fundamentally new product."  Judge Sweet's decision is here (PDF) via Genomics Law Report.  Here is the ACLU's take.

Here is a brief summary of what follows: The ruling is remarkable.  Various commentators and reporters remark upon it.  They get confused.  I try to clarify.  Then we get to a truly revolutionary part of the decision: it's about science!  And a little bit about law.  Finally: so what if a few patents are invalidated?
 

Didn't See That Coming.  But I Can't Complain.

Last month, I noted that I was skeptical that the ACLU and other plaintiffs would be so successful in one go.  So I am surprised, but I am certainly not disappointed.  But I am not surprised, while being somewhat disappointed, that the coverage of the decision is so confused and confusing.  This confusion arises, I suspect, because the wording of Judge Sweet's decision is not entirely straightforward in places, and this has led to analyses that are insufficiently careful.  More on these points below.

DISCLAIMER: Please recall in what follows that I am but a humble physicist by training (oh yes, yes, we're all very humble), not a lawyer.  But I have written some stuff about patents on genes, and at least a few people (some of whom are IP law lawyers) think my analysis doesn't suck a lot.

First, over at Genomics Law Report (GLR), John Conley and Dan Vorhaus have a great analysis with a nice title: "Pigs Fly: Federal Court Invalidates Myriad's Patent Claims".  I won't bother to repeat their discussion.  If you are interested in this issue, please read that post as well as Dan Vorhaus' initial post analyzing the decision.  In particular, the reader might want to attend closely Vorhaus and Conley's observations about the potential for appeals, the likelihood of success in that endeavor, and the applicability of the ruling in other jurisdictions.

The short summary of what's transpired so far in the case is that Judge Sweet has invalidated a small number of claims, in a summary judgement ruling that so far applies only in the Southern District of New York.  Assertions that this is the end of the world for companies that hold gene patents are rather overblown.

There's Too Much Confusion, But Here is Some Relief

But now onto some of the confusing bits alluded to above.  The confusion starts, surprisingly, at GLR.  Here are Conely and Vorhaus:  "In the broader policy debate surrounding gene and biotechnology patents, however, this decision is the latest, unmistakable shot across the bow of gene patent holders, particularly those such as Myriad Genetics that have developed businesses around patent-protected genetic tests supported by exclusive rights in underlying gene patents."  Hummm...  Maybe not so much, actually.  Let me get straight to the point: there is a rather substantial difference between a "gene patent" that claims naturally occurring sequences and one that claims sequences that are not natural. 

Here is one way to think about the issues under discussion: in my one hand, I have a piece of isolated DNA that is identical in sequence to one in your body.  It is the same genetic sequence, so it carries the same information.  Indeed, for it to be useful in a test tube for the purposes of diagnosis, it must have both the same information content and the same function as the sequence in your body.  In fact, it only works as a diagnostic tool because it is the same as what is in your body.  As I noted in my earlier post, this is sort of the opposite of invention, and I have never understood why natural genes can be patented.  (Note: Judge Sweet hits this point quite squarely, but not until p.124 of his ruling.)  In my other hand, I have a piece of isolated DNA that is solely the result of human manipulation -- "human ingenuity" -- consisting of a sequence that does not exist in nature.  Both pieces of DNA are isolated, but they derive from very different sources, and are derived by very different means. Unfortunately, everybody discussing the present decision, including Judge Sweet in the early pages of his decision, seems to be a tad careless about the distinction, which leads many people down a rabbit hole.  (There is an extended discussion of the definition of "isolated DNA" and of the BRCA1/2 genes on p.90-92.)

Here is where it starts: Judge Sweet sets up his decision in the first couple of pages focusing specifically on the BRCA1/2 genes, and slightly more generally on isolated human genes: "Are isolated human genes and the comparison of their sequences patentable?" (p.2)  He continues: "Two complicated areas of science and law are involved: molecular biology and patent law.  The task is to seek the governing principles in each and to determine the essential elements of the claimed biological compositions and processes and their relationships to the laws of nature."

This sounds great.  Judge Sweet is clearly referring specifically to certain human gene sequences named in the patents in question.  Alas, on the next page he switches his language to address the specific assertions of the plaintiffs that ""isolated DNA" containing human BRCA1/2 sequences" are not patentable.  The basic contention here is that because the isolated DNA as described in the patents does the same thing inside the body as outside the body -- it is an information storage medium -- there is no difference between the two forms of DNA and therefore the isolated DNA in question cannot be patented.  Judge Sweet concludes (p.4):

DNA represents the physical embodiment of biological information, distinct in its essential characteristics from any other chemical found in nature. It is concluded that DNA's existence in an 'isolated' form alters neither this fundamental quality as it exists in the body not the information it encodes.  Therefore, the patents at issue directed to "isolated DNA" containing sequences found in nature are unsustainable as a matter of law and are deemed unpatentable subject matter.

The judge thereby switches within a couple of paragraphs very seamlessly from language referring only to human genes to language referring seemingly to all "isolated DNA".  It takes another 100 pages to get to a true clarification, and I'll bet very few people have read that far, or followed all the byways and cross-references (p.100): "...The issue presented by the instant motions with respect to the composition claims is whether or not claims directed to isolated DNA containing naturally-occurring human sequences [emph added] fall within the products nature exception.  ...It is concluded that the composition claims-in-suit are excepted."

In other words, Judge Sweet very specifically ruled that the claims on isolated DNA containing naturally occurring sequences are not valid.  Even more specifically, the ruling only applies to the motion in question by the plaintiffs, namely to invalidate the patents on BRCA1/2 held by Myriad et al.  Judge Sweet pointedly cites Diamond vs. Chakrabarty (p.109) -- a case that affirmed the patentability of "genetically engineered" organisms -- in limiting his ruling to the patentability of naturally occurring genes.  The ruling has no applicability outside that subject matter, and therefore has little applicability to, for example, much of anything that might come out of synthetic biology (unless you are talking about a synthetic DNA version of a naturally occurring gene).  Nor, for that matter, does the ruling have any say about any bit of DNA altered to be different from a natural sequence.  Which means that the ruling has very little to do with most patents on DNA, and therefore has very little to do with most of the industry surrounding those patents -- more on this below.

(Side note, as I read through the decision: Myriad's lawyers didn't do themselves any favors by making generally unpersuasive assertions aimed as broadside attacks against the plaintiffs' arguments.  As noted in my previous post on this case "Whither Genome Patents?", the defendants' assertions that patents serve as necessary incentives for scientific research are complete bunk.  Defense attorney Brian Poissant previously argued that "women would not even know they had BRCA gene if it weren't discovered" under a system that incentivizes patents.  I say again, as calmly as I can, bull pucky.  For example, see the publicly funded Human Genome Project.  See also the fact that BRCA2 was sequenced first in academic labs rather than by Myriad, who somehow managed to patent it anyway.  See also the many  BRCA1/2 assays independently developed in academia, the use of which Myriad repeatedly quashed through cease-and-desist letters, as recounted in detail in the decision.  But here is Judge Sweet himself (p.76): "According to Myriad, its policy and practice has been and still is to allow scientists to conduct research studies on BRCA 1 and BRCA 2 freely, the result of which has been the publication of [over 8600 papers] representing the work of over 18,000 scientists."  (It wasn't clear to me whether Myriad's legal team itself provided these numbers -- but if they did: bad legal tactics, fellas.)  In other words, 18,000 scientists have managed to produce a substantial body of work without any promise whatsoever of remuneration based on a patent for BRCA1/2.  Unless, of course, you count keeping your job through the promise of not being sued by Myriad.)  

It's Science!  And Science Always Wins -- Eventually, But May be Delayed By Appeals.

There is another very interesting angle to Judge Sweet's decision.  Andrew Pollack, writing in the New York Times, suggests that the most revolutionary part of the decision is where Judge Sweet recognizes that DNA carries information.  Pollack quotes Rebecca Eisenberg, a law professor at the University of Michigan: "There isn't a whole lot of doctrinal support" for considering DNA as information rather than as a chemical.  That, for me, is a truly eye opening perspective.  Not because I didn't know about it before -- unfortunately, that view is all too prevalent among IP lawyers -- but rather because it is being defended and suggested as a possible grounds for appeal.  True, it may be precedent, but that does not mean it is good precedent.

Here's the thing: There may not be much "doctrinal support" for considering DNA as information, but there is a rather overwhelming amount of scientific and technical support for considering DNA as information rather than as a chemical, say starting with the vast majority of molecular biology and biochemistry papers published in Science, Nature, Cell, PNAS, and any other relevant journal you can think of.  For all of the last six decades, no less.  Oh, and then all those silly textbooks.  The genetics and molecular biology ones, obviously; not the law textbooks.

Judge Sweet, in my humble opinion, already smacked this one out of the park on p.4: "The facts relating to molecular biology are fundamental to the patents at issue and to the conclusions reached.  Consequently, in the findings which follow, the discussion of molecular biology precedes the facts concerning the development, application, and description of the patents."  (Whoa there!  Science and reason trump the law of man!  Or science and reason trump the law of lawyers?  Damn, now that is a novel legal theory.  And a welcome one.  Don't tell Sen. James Inhofe.) 

Unfortunately, Pollack misses this angle, and promulgates further the confusion that Judge Sweet's ruling spells doom for the biotech industry: "Some biotechnology investors and executives say that lack of patent protection for DNA could diminish investment in the field and remove incentives for companies to develop tests."  Never mind that, as described above, Judge Sweet's ruling applies only to patents on naturally occurring genes, which should ameliorate the concerns of most of the "some biotechnology investors and executives".  It is nonetheless true that diagnostics companies that rely on patents claiming naturally occurring sequences may have to reevaluate their business plans.  (For instance, they may want to be especially careful in issuing cease-and-desist letters, lest the ACLU and company get busy again.)  And it may be true that this small fraction of biotech businesses may have difficulty raising capital -- but time will tell.  If it turns out that development of new diagnostic assays lags as a result of more patents on human genes being invalidated, then we will have something real to talk about.  We might consider developing public policy around alternate incentives.  Until there is a demonstrated concern, however, it isn't clear to me that we should be so concerned about the fate of private investors who gambled on patents whose validity has long been questioned.

What Is The Real Impact Going To Be? 

To reiterate the numbers from my earlier post: of the roughtly 2% of US GDP that is derived from biotech, at a rough guess I would put only 1% of the total (so .01% of US GDP) in the molecular diagnostics category that depends explicitly on excluding other uses of patented human genes.  A few billion dollars a year, in other words, might be at risk.  But somebody is going to do the tests, and Judge Sweet's decision lists a variety of tests that cost about 1/3 of Myriad's; that is, before Myriad shut them down with cease-and-desist letters.  If you eliminate those patents, we might have to come up with some other way to incentivize the development and testing of assays.  Prizes come to mind as a fine thing to try.  They work.  Academics and garagistas will be happy to compete for those prizes, I am sure.

But the rest of the biotech industry shouldn't be concerned about this ruling, frankly.  They might even celebrate the fact that they now have access, potentially, to a whole bunch more genes that are naturally occurring.  Not just in humans, mind you, but any organism.  This opens up a rather substantial toolbox for anybody interested in using biological technologies derived from viruses, bacteria, plants, etc.  If it holds up over the long run, Judge Sweet's decision should accelerate innovation.  That is definitely a good thing.